Signal and the Noise. The Art and Science of Prediction, Paperback/Nate Silver

Reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, the author takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a noise of data - and make predictions in our lives.